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ABX Post-call migrated from v1 archive

ABX — Barrick Mining

Q2 2026 · published 2026-08-11

ABX Q2 2026 - Post-Call Earnings Update

Event: Quartr Q2 2026 event Retrieved: 2026-08-11T11:56:00Z Comparison mode: maximal Scorecard contract: v1

Consensus scorecard

Metric / basis Quartr actual API Ninjas consensus Beat/Miss Beat/Miss %
Revenue / consolidated total revenue (consensus from NYSE listing B) $5,292m $5,096.689m Beat +$195.311m +3.8%
EPS / adjusted net earnings per share, basic (consensus from NYSE listing B) $0.82 $0.81 Beat +$0.01 +1.2%

Management and Q&A

Guidance and KPI clarification

2026 guidance item Position on the call Position in the release Change
Attributable gold production 2,900-3,250koz 2,900-3,250koz reiterated
Gold all-in sustaining costs $1,760-$1,950/oz same reiterated
Attributable copper production 190-220kt same reiterated
Copper all-in sustaining costs $3.45-$3.75/lb same reiterated
Total attributable capital expenditure $3.8bn-$4.2bn, on lower Lumwana and Reko Diq spend $3.8bn-$4.2bn, primarily Reko Diq Lumwana added as a driver on the call
Reko Diq 2026 attributable capital expenditure $450m-$500m, down from $600m-$700m; plant construction will not start this year not disclosed new on the call
Lumwana 2026 capital expenditure lower end of guidance; project on budget not disclosed at project level new on the call
Q3 gold production higher than Q2 not phased new on the call
Q4 gold production higher than Q3 not phased new on the call
H2 copper production higher than H1 not phased new on the call
Conservatism in the guide explicitly none; "certainly not conservative" not addressed new on the call
North American IPO on track by year end; 10% minority only; no spin-out; structure and domicile being re-examined on track by year end expanded on the call
Dividend policy $0.175 quarterly base plus year-end top-up to 50% of attributable free cash flow same reiterated
Disclosure made on the call Figure Prior reference
Newmont agreement, total package approximately $4bn; components refused not in the earnings release
Ounces added by Mike and Fiberline approximately 6.4m; category breakdown unknown, management to revert not in the earnings release
Contingent payments in the agreement none not in the earnings release
Negotiation length four months not disclosed
Newmont consent right approval of the NGM general manager appointment not disclosed
Newmont personnel a Newmont employee likely embedded in the NGM executive team not disclosed
Indicative new roaster cost approximately $2.5bn, explicitly a rough estimate; roaster versus autoclave and location undecided not disclosed
Fourmile conceptual PEA capital $1.5bn-$1.7bn over the next few years not disclosed
Fourmile PEA parameters cited by an analyst, uncorrected 600-750koz, $1.5bn-$1.7bn capital, $650-$700/oz AISC not disclosed
Fourmile AISC gold-price sensitivity ~$100/oz per $1,000/oz gold move; add ~$100 at ~$3,600/oz consensus; includes all royalties and the net profits interest not disclosed
Fourmile drilling 20 active rigs not disclosed
One-time Loulo-Gounkoto payment $200m cash paid in April, for 2024 and 2025 retrospective mining-code royalties, penalties and interest not disclosed
Further Mali payment demand $48m received in July not disclosed
Attributable free cash flow excluding the one-time payment would have been over 60% higher year over year −33% as reported
Veladero down approximately two weeks on a weather event requiring evacuation not disclosed
Porgera plant shut down after Wiley Creek Dam dried up not disclosed
NGM plus Pueblo Viejo share of attributable adjusted EBITDA 53%, at a 61% margin not disclosed
Other regions' margin 59% not disclosed
Safety frequency rate 0.77, from 0.92 quarter on quarter; six lost-time injuries not disclosed
Safety technology investment over $90m this year not disclosed
Pueblo Viejo resettlement 90% of packages accepted not disclosed
Cumulative shareholder returns since October 2025 $3bn over three quarters, more than double the prior corresponding period $1.5bn in the quarter
Revolving credit facility / debt maturity $3bn undrawn; no meaningful debt due until 2033 not disclosed in the pages read
Loulo-Gounkoto open pits Baboto pushbacks, early to middle of Q2 2027; operation self-funding not disclosed
NGM turnover thought to be 14%; not confirmed, management to revert not disclosed
Component values inside the $4bn explicitly refused not disclosed
Africa & Middle East cost gap versus regional guidance not raised by anyone disclosed in the release tables

Updated neutral analysis

Market context and limitations